NFC Championship Game Best Bets: Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Picks

By - Finn January 26, 2025 Comments (0) 8 Mins Read

Oct 13, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles center Cam Jurgens (51) snaps the ball to quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) in a game against the Cleveland Browns at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Conference Championship Sunday gets started with an old rivalry playing out in the NFC Championship game: the Washington Redskins vs. the Philadelphia Eagles. If you thought their regular season matchups were exciting, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line…

It should be a fun and exciting game to watch and bet on. But so many markets, so little time, right? No worries. We’ve got your back. Here’s our list of the best bets for the NFC Championship game.

Best Bets: NFC Championship

Commanders +6.5 at -120 (odds via FanDuel)

How long until Washington’s luck runs out? The Cinderella story is bound to end sooner rather than later, right? Surely Jayden Daniels will come back down to Earth in this game; a rookie’s luck can only go so far…or does it….

Many analysts are assuming the Eagles will dominate this game, because Philadelphia is a team expected to make it this far. But Washington? They were not expected to even make the playoffs, let alone get to the NFC title game.

However, they got there because the defense is playing well, the offensive line is blocking, and Jayden Daniels has been making plays. While the Eagles defense is exceptional, Washington has taken their best and thrived. Philly may win, but the game will be a close one.

Neither team wins by more than a touchdown.

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Saquon Barkley, OVER 124.5 Rushing Yards at -115 (odds via BetMGM)

OVER 24.5 Rushing Attempts at -113 (odds via FanDuel)

OVER 23.5 Rushing Yards for Longest Rush at -140 (odds via BetMGM)

2 TDs, Anytime at +250 (odds via DraftKings

Anytime First Half Touchdown at +125 (odds via bet365)

Barkley makes this offense click. The Eagles may try to prove differently since the world expects them to ride Saquon Barkley to New Orleans. But even if they do focus on the pass right out of the gate, the Eagles will eventually turn to Barkley, and he’ll get his carries and yards.

Barkley ran for 146 and 150 yards with two touchdowns in each game during the regular season (26 and 29 carries). In the playoffs, he is fresh off a 205-yard, two-touchdown game vs. a good Rams defense (26 carries) and ran for 119 on 25 carries the week before against Green Bay.

Washington will make him work for it, but he’ll get 25+ carries and run for 124.5+ yards. The Commanders’ defense averaged 138.9 rushing yards allowed this season and 150.7 over the last three games. With how Barkley has been running in recent weeks, he is bound to pop at least one long run of more than 23.5 yards.

He’ll go OVER his numbers.

As for scoring, he’ll more than likely score at least once, but there is no value in betting on his anytime odds but two scores? He’s done it seven times this season. Why not 8? As important as he is to the offense, if they get into the red zone in the first half, he’ll get a couple of shots to score.

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Jalen Hurts, Anytime Touchdown at -115 (odds via BetMGM)

OVER 30.5 Rushing Yards at -113 (FanDuel)

Barkley’s prowess in the run game gets all the attention, and deservedly so, but Hurts is what makes a great run game exceptional. Teams get so worried about Barkley that the lanes open a little easier for Hurts. He’s gone for 30.5+ yards in his last five games and in ten of his last 11, including both games vs. Washington.